Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.369976 4.726646 5.111061 5.558319 6.067121 6.631201 7.308437
2025-03-23 3.854459 4.360286 4.944702 5.678986 6.590360 7.703176 9.195551
2025-03-30 3.422396 3.977890 4.647791 5.532090 6.695887 8.217502 10.435613
2025-04-06 3.106440 3.682479 4.399433 5.381921 6.735588 8.606646 11.535451
2025-04-13 2.858819 3.441661 4.185446 5.236027 6.739664 8.919446 12.555744
2025-04-20 2.690040 3.284071 4.059652 5.186456 6.858707 9.398828 13.920437
2025-04-27 2.605175 3.227261 4.059263 5.305168 7.229275 10.310655 16.233411
2025-05-04 2.537803 3.186761 4.074514 5.442878 7.640015 11.351634 19.090496
2025-05-11 2.435112 3.089382 3.999942 5.435243 7.811989 12.005557 21.377711
2025-05-18 2.351560 3.012715 3.948168 5.455154 8.027926 12.772594 24.187029
2025-05-25 2.224061 2.866051 3.783422 5.280914 7.885926 12.825473 25.293637
2025-06-01 2.123968 2.753761 3.663066 5.168193 7.839463 13.059815 26.964851
2025-06-08 2.039822 2.666247 3.583351 5.130325 7.952599 13.707101 30.289904
2025-06-15 1.995097 2.635347 3.589806 5.240402 8.365463 15.123243 36.984092
2025-06-22 1.900290 2.524293 3.463641 5.110318 8.292724 15.409046 40.090998
2025-06-29 1.812699 2.419813 3.341576 4.976932 8.196068 15.617632 43.117314
2025-07-06 1.732745 2.323273 3.226750 4.847126 8.090713 15.783638 46.167544
2025-07-13 1.676265 2.260164 3.162289 4.802974 8.159738 16.426512 52.106677
2025-07-20 1.653286 2.247552 3.179033 4.908669 8.566346 18.117871 65.933434
2025-07-27 1.634524 2.240350 3.203820 5.031108 9.030285 20.153897 86.554167
2025-08-03 1.593646 2.196133 3.163514 5.024325 9.192975 21.312543 104.154271
2025-08-10 1.559505 2.161169 3.136936 5.042015 9.417519 22.771732 130.170377
2025-08-17 1.498505 2.080632 3.027968 4.887085 9.194376 22.569971 137.019778